The 2024 Senate race is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent history, with many Democratic-held seats on the line. With the Senate makeup still yet to be determined, a look at the top five Democratic seats most likely to flip in the upcoming election can help voters prepare for the upcoming battle.
Arizona, one of the country’s most populous states and a traditional battleground, is the prime target for Republicans hoping to flip the Senate. Its two Senators, Kyrsten Sinema and Mark Kelly, have both served for less than a full term and could be vulnerable to GOP challengers in 2024. Republicans see the opportunity to make gains in the Grand Canyon State, and it is expected to be a major battleground next year.
In Minnesota, Al Franken’s replacement in the Senate, Tina Smith, is up for re-election in 2024. Smith, who has a long history in public service, is likely to face a spirited challenge from Republicans, who have been targeting the traditionally liberal state recently.
New Hampshire’s Jeanne Shaheen is up for re-election in 2024 and is likely to face a tough battle. The state has become increasingly Republican-leaning in recent years, making Shaheen’s seat an attractive pickup opportunity for the GOP. They have already identified several potential contenders who could give Shaheen a run for her money.
In Pennsylvania, Bob Casey Jr.’s re-election bid could be a close one. Casey, who has served in the Senate since 2007, is facing pressure from Republicans to retire, and they are likely to pour resources into challenging the Democratic incumbent.
Finally, West Virginia’s Joe Manchin is the only Democratic Senator in the traditionally Republican-leaning state, and his moderate record could come back to haunt him in the upcoming elections. Manchin is facing Republican opposition and could be vulnerable to a more conservative candidate in 2024.
The 2024 Senate race is shaping up to be an important one. While Democrats are hoping to hang onto their seats in these five states, Republicans see an opportunity to make gains in a traditionally blue region. The outcome of the race could have significant implications for both sides of the aisle, and it will be interesting to see who emerges victorious in November.